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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 12.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +3.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Fire Suited | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.9% | +12.4 |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Wind Arisanna | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Wind Cats | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 45 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempus Stalker | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Forest Cake | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Unmake Duality | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Byakko's Command | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wildgrowth Feline | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |